Online Advertising Is a Waste of
Money
A DRAFT IN PROGRESS
By Cassie Carter, PhD
Advertising is not a sustainable business
model for a web portal, nor is it cost-effective for businesses
seeking to reach potential customers, nor is it useful or
productive for web users.
Traditional portals base their business
models largely upon advertising sales. Marketers purchase
“keywords” and place ads throughout the portal,
typically paying for “page views” and “clicks.”
In the 1990s, banner ad prices ran from $75 CPM (cost per
thousand impressions) up to $130 CPM in 2000, with an average
click rate of 7%. [1] Click rates dropped to 0.3% in 2001
[2] and bottomed out in 2002, with an average click rate of 0.2%;
prices dropped to about $2 CPM. [3]
According to research firm eMarketer,
online ad spending dropped almost 11%, from $8.2 billion
in 2000 to 7.3 billion in 2001.
[4] Yahoo!, for whom advertising makes up 75% of total revenue,
stated in its annual report that advertising revenue decreased
by $429.5 million in 2001, representing a 44% loss. [5]
The dotcom failure epidemic can be blamed
for much of the lost advertising revenue (dotcoms accounted
for 70% of online spending in 2000), and some researchers
believe that as major players like Pepsi, Procter &
Gable, Purina, and Volvo integrate online marketing into
their traditional marketing campaigns, ad revenues will
rise again to new heights:
Not only do banner ads cost just a fraction
of what they did then, but online publishers have unveiled
nearly a dozen new attention-grabbing formats. Ads don't
just wait patiently to be clicked on anymore; now they slither
down pages, tilt screens sideways, pop up in windows, and
blare full-screen music videos. [6]
Apparently, these experts believe the
“solution” to the problem is to do more of the
same, only bigger, louder, and more obnoxious.
What TV Advertising
Can Teach Us
There’s a scene in the Beatles movie
A Hard Day’s Night where George Harrison
is mistaken for (something like) a focus group participant.
The People in Charge bring him in for his Younger Generation
opinion, expecting him to say what they want to hear about
their trendsetting spokesmodel. Instead, George says, “She’s
a drag. A well-known drag. We turn the sound down on her
and say rude things.”
Traditionally, advertisers have assumed
that when people are watching television, they are also
watching the ads and appreciating the message. A recent
study demonstrates that this may not be the case.
As Mark Ritson reports, a team at London
Business School recruited eight households to participate
in an ethnographic study of television advertising viewing
behaviors. The team placed “black boxes” in
subjects’ homes containing VCRs to record what the
subjects watched, while mini cameras and microphones recorded
the subjects’ behaviors. Although the “black
boxes” were in place for three weeks, they were active
for only the final week when the subjects had become used
to them.
The results of the study indicate that
“people spend most of their time actively avoiding
ads.” During commercial breaks in programming, most
viewers would either do something else or change the channel.
If several people were watching together, they tended to
use the opportunity to talk to each other, again ignoring
the commercials, at least for the most part. “When
one of our sample did glimpse an ad that they wanted the
rest of their household to see they would interrupt the
proceedings and direct the attention of everyone to the
ad.” Ritson indicates that these situations did not
necessarily bode well for the advertisements attracting
attention: “We recorded far more negative comment
on these ads than positive. If households do watch the ad
as a group they are more likely to criticise the ad itself
or, worse still, the actual company or product being advertised.” [7]
DVRs and PVRs such as ReplayTV and TiVo
can tell us more about how viewers receive advertising.
TiVo spokesperson Rebecca Baer reported in 2001 that "Anywhere
from 50% to 80% of subscribers skip over most of the ads." [8]
Digital video recorders (DVR) and personal
video recorders (PVR) are similar to VCRs (videocassette
recorders) except that DVRs and PVRs record television shows
to a hard drive rather than to tape. The technology allows
people to “pause” live broadcasts and fast-forward
to catch up with the live feed. [9]
DVRs and PVRs make it very easy for viewers
to “skip” commercials, and, indeed, early tests
of TiVo in 1999-2000 found viewers skipped 88% of commercials. [10] An ethnographic study of PVR use in 2001 found that, in general,
“people exercised more control over what they watched,
choosing to watch only the programs, commercials, or segments
of shows they wanted and erasing the rest.” Generally,
when people watched commercials, it “was either because
they were interested in the product, enjoyed the commercial,
or were too lazy to skip the commercials.” But almost
all of the study subjects said, “I don’t watch
commercials anymore.”
[11]
TV networks and movie studios find this
threatening. Hence, “As part of its investment agreement
with NBC, [Sonicblue’s] ReplayTV agreed not to emphasize
its quick skip (read: commercial skip) feature in any of
its promotions.” [12] Further attempting to reassert the power of advertising in
2000, ReplayTV decided to make advertisements appear when
a viewer hit the “pause” button for too long.
This “feature” was removed due to public outcry.
[13]
Also, as with VCRs, people can use DVRs
and PVRs to record programs and share them with others.
TV networks and movie studios find this threatening, as
well. In October 2001, several major TV networks and movie
studios filed a copyright infringement lawsuit against Sonicblue.
[14] In response, a federal magistrate required Sonicblue to “monitor
customers' activities to find out what TV programming they
record, duplicate or send to others.” [15] This requirement was overturned in June 2002.
Sonicblue’s required monitoring
of customer activities highlights another feature of DVRs
and PVRs: unlike regular television, they allow the service
operator to monitor customers’ viewing habits directly,
without help from Nielsen ratings or the like. This fact
highlights the privacy concerns that have circulated about
DVR/PVR technology since the beginning. In March 2001,
“the Privacy Foundation released a report accusing
TiVo of gathering more information about its subscribers'
viewing habits than the company had been disclosing.”
[16] The privacy concerns associated with Tivo and ReplayTV are
parallel to (and perhaps caused by) privacy concerns that
have plagued the online environment since the beginning.
Banner Ads
Online, advertisers already know banner
ads do not work. Research demonstrates that, most of the
time, people actively avoid viewing banner ads. In 1998,
Benway and Lane coined the term “banner blindness”
to describe web users’ tendency ignore banner ads.
In their study, Benway and Lane asked subjects to search
for specific facts on web pages that may or may not contain
relevant information. When the pertinent information was
presented as a banner, subjects found it only about 58%
of the time, whereas they found information presented as
text 94% of the time. In another test, subjects were given
a search task using web pages containing 24 banner ads;
after they completed the task, they were shown the 24 advertisements
they had seen plus 24 new advertisements. The researchers
asked participants to indicate whether or not they had seen
each ad during the search task. Only 20% of the participants
stated that they recalled seeing any advertisements at all
during the search task. There was no difference in banner
recognition based on grouping with other content or animation.
[17]
Donald Norman believes “banner blindness”
is the result of cognitive schemas. When users undertake
a search task, they will focus on the most likely places
where they might find the information they are looking for.
[18] Pagendarm and Schaumburg tested this theory with another experiment
demonstrating that “navigation style” determines
whether or not users “see” banner ads. Specifically,
they found that when users are engaged in goal-directed
search, as in the Benway and Lane study, they focus
their attention on content they expect will contain information
relevant to the task. Hence, “When the users search
for information, banner related schemata are most probably
not activated or are inhibited because the information the
users are looking for is normally located somewhere in the
text of a Web page but rarely in a banner.” When
web users are browsing (or surfing), however, they
are somewhat more likely to recognize and remember banners
presented to them “because the users are not looking
for specific information but are guided by the appeal of
the different features on a Web page.”
Pagendarm and Schaumburg concluded
that web users will tend to overlook banners on web sites
typically used to look for specific information, such as
search engines, and that users will also “fade out”
areas of a web page that normally do not contain the desired
information, such as areas where banners are normally placed.
In contrast, users will be more likely to perceive banners
on web sites they use to browse information, such as online
magazines. Given that 75% of their subjects failed to recognize
banner ads potentially relevant to a search task, however,
and given that recall is extremely low, the researchers
questioned the efficacy of banner advertisement in general.
[19]
Popups,
Interstitials, Superstitials, and Text Links
Recognizing the fallibility
of the banner format, advertisers moved on to bigger and
“better” tactics, most notably popups. So far,
there is no such thing as “Popup blindness.”
In fact, X-10’s “Amazing X-Cam” interstitials
“pushed [the] previously hidden Seattle upstart before
14.5 million unique users in April, making it the most-visited
e-tailer on the Web behind Amazon.com.” [20] Popups do create awareness, and a 2001 study of 2,000 web
users by Millward Brown found that the “superstitial”
variety (which loads in the background and displays after
a user has seen a web page) were the most successful of
all. Superstitials are 25% more effective than other kinds
of interstitials and twice as effective as banners in terms
of creating ad awareness.
[21]
But what kind of “awareness”
does a popup create? In a 1999 Jupiter survey of 3,000
consumers, 69% viewed popups negatively, with close to 25%
finding them “so annoying that they would avoid sites
that carried them.”
[22] As one commentator points out,
Unlike banner ads which use “pull”
strategy to try attract interested users and draw them to
click, pop-up windows use “push,” which can
be seen as annoying and intrusive. Moreover, when a pop-up
window directs an unknowing computer user to a site that
they do not intend on visiting, this can lead to a negative
response to both the promoted site and the pop-up window's
host site. [23]
Significantly, there are now more than
fifty popup-blocking applications on the market. [24] As of June 2002, over one million people had downloaded
the leading popup-killer on Download.com. [25]
Advertisers have yet another tactic at
available: go smaller with sponsored links. As with
banners and popups, advertisers buy keywords; when a user
conducts a search using these keywords, text links display
with the results. On Google, these sponsored links appear
on the right-hand side of the page. Text-based ads return
an average click rate of 2% and cost from $8 to $25 CPM.
Web users view these ads as useful because they help them
find what they are looking for.
Web
Advertising Conversion Rates
What about conversion rates? How
many people who click on an ad actually buy something, or
register, or subscribe? In 2000, an online “conversion
rate of 2-4% [was] considered average, below 2% [was] shabby,
and 10% or more [was] spectacular.” [26] In 2002, the average conversion rate was just under 2%. [27] To adapt J. William Gurley’s formula for the current
online economy, [28] here is a hypothetical scenario:
For a sponsored link, at $15 CPM you pay
$3750 for 250,000 page views. For a banner, you pay $500
for the same number of page views at $2 CPM. Your sponsored
link gets 5000 clicks (at a rate of 2%), while your banner
gets 500 clicks (at a rate of .2%). If we assume the conversion
rate is average at 2%, your sponsored link produces 100
conversions (actual customers) at a cost to you of $37.50
each. Your banner ad brings you ten conversions at a cost
to you of $50 each.
Yes, the cost-per-conversion is cheaper
than it was two years ago, but look at it another way.
Of the half-million people who looked at web pages containing
your two ads, only 110 were interested enough to buy from
you, register with your site, or subscribe to your magazine
or service. The other 499,890 people who saw web pages
containing your ads most likely ignored them or were annoyed
by them.
How about adding a superstitial to your
ad mix? Remember, superstitials, we’re told, are
twice as effective as banners. (Let’s see: .008%
x 2 = …)
Branding
Thus far I have discussed issues primarily
concerning response-driven advertising, rather than branding-driven
advertising. It is true that consumer familiarity is very
important to branding, and advertising helps keep a brand
front-and-center in consumers’ minds. However, branding
requires much more than recognition. A brand is “A
commercial entity . . . whose symbol or message when communicated
to the consumer, triggers a deep emotional response and
creates intense customer loyalty.”
[29]
Advertising alone cannot “define”
or “create” a brand or engender loyalty. As
branding guru David Ogilvy said in 1955, "A brand is
the tangible sum of a product's attributes, name, packaging
and price, history, reputation and the way it's advertised.
A brand is also defined by consumers' impressions of the
people who use it, as well as their own experience."
[30] A brand is like an individual’s personality--people
get to know it over time, developing often irrational associations
with it (for example, many Coca-Cola lovers prefer Coke
even though they admit Pepsi tastes better). Once people
know a brand, as Ogilvy & Mather CEO Shelly Lazarus
puts it, "It's a Herculean task to get consumers to
think differently about [it]." [31]
The internet presents a challenge and
a charge to create entirely new branding strategies. The
advertising industry has chosen, instead, to force old advertising
models onto the new medium.
Gee-Whiz Statistics
Enough scientific studies have been conducted
to make it clear what does not work in online advertising.
However, rather than using this data and accepting the challenge
to develop new approaches to online marketing, the advertising
industry produces its own studies to prop up its castle
walls.
Despite all evidence to the contrary,
commercial studies done for the advertising industry chant
religiously, “Bigger is better, and richer, more interactive
advertising is best.”
[32] Likewise, “brand recognition” is a battle cry
to defeat all statistically verifiable logic concerning
the value of advertising. Faced with numbers establishing
the worthlessness of traditional online advertising, commercial
studies done for the advertising industry will fight back
with “gee whiz” statistics demonstrating how
ad campaigns increase brand recognition by 25%, and so on.
Notably, these studies describe neither their methodologies
nor their measurement standards.
This makes sense, given that advertising
agencies are among the primary beneficiaries of traditional
online advertising.
According to the US Department of Labor,
there are over 21,000 advertising agencies in the United
States, many (or most) of which have specialized departments
devoted to online advertising. [33] In 2001, the top 200 agencies were paid over $2.3 billion for
interactive advertising services; in 2000, they took in
more than $3.2 billion.
[34] With the costs of campaign development and media placement
combined, US businesses spent over $4 billion for interactive
advertising in 2000. [35]
Online advertising is the most measurable
marketing medium ever developed. It is possible to track
almost every facet of an online campaign, from the effectiveness
of creative strategy through ongoing CRM. But with this
data also comes the opportunity for bad statistics.
Need to get around measurable click-through
and conversion metrics? Talk to an ad serving company.
They track ad exposure and sales using cookies, web beacons,
and the like, and they claim online ads achieve conversion
and branding even, as one advertising expert stated, “without
the consumer clicking on the ads. Instead the consumer
remembers the message and returns to the site on their own
accord.” According to a study by Avenue A, an interactive
agency, “80% of the new registrations generated by
the advertising on one of the top 10 travel websites were
driven by people who didn’t click on the ad, but came
to the site because they got the message from the advertisement.
. . .” [36] Really? We have seen credible, controlled, scientific research
indicating that 75% of web users, overall, fail to remember
ads. We also know that 73.4% of users find websites using
a search engine, [37] as opposed to 1% via banner ads, [38] and that 52% of users navigate directly to websites by typing
in URLs or using bookmarks. [39] How many of those “clickless” visitors actually
discovered the sites in question because of the online
ads as opposed to, say, recommendation from a friend or
a magazine article?
Banner ads and popups do not work
for consumers who view them, businesses that pay for them,
or portals that host them. Only the advertising agencies
and ad servers benefit.
Database/Direct
Marketing
Direct marketers collect demographic information
and addresses for the purpose of delivering “targeted”
advertising to potential customers. Database marketing
has made this a huge business:
With access to vast amounts of computerized
customer information, marketers can collate and cross-reference
a database of names to create a finely tune mailing list
and then send them highly targeted messages. For example,
a direct marketer might discover that based on past results,
the best prospects for its next campaign are single women
who are registered Democrats, who make more than $58,000
a year, and who have no balance on their credit card. [40]
A 2% response rate for a direct (snail)
mail campaign is considered a success.
[41]
Online, demographics and email lists are
valuable commodities, forming the basis of a huge internet
industry. Using a traditional media advertising model,
Internet portals and content sites collect demographic information
about their users in order to sell advertising real estate
for banners, popups, interstitials, superstitials, and text
links to advertisers. Some brick-and-mortar and internet
companies also sell lists of their users’ email addresses
to advertisers to use as they please. Research companies
like Forrester and Media-Metrix sell “studies”
of consumer behavior to help companies target their ads
more precisely. And of course scam artists abound--individuals
and companies who collect email addresses from online newsgroups,
bulletin boards, online discussion groups, and websites,
then sell their lists as legitimate “opt-in”
lists.
Who benefits from this activity?
Database/direct marketing benefits database/direct
marketers—that is, the individuals and companies who
collect the information and sell it, those who sell advertising
space using demographics as bait, and those who provide
direct marketing services. As for the businesses hoping
to reach customers, the average click-through rate for
e-mail advertisements was 1.8% in 2002 (it was 3% in 2001)
[42] —which can be a substantial return in some cases, as I will
discuss. However, the cost to customers is staggering.
The customers themselves—the targets, the prospects—lose
a little more privacy, a little more trust, a little more
interest every day.
Thanks to database marketing and advertisers’
obsession with demographic information and email addresses,
internet users fear loss of privacy and they are overwhelmed
by irrelevant spam email filling their inboxes. The practice
of collecting personal information and email addresses for
the purpose of compiling marketing databases is the primary
source of both of these problems.
“Opt-In” Email
Marketing
Email marketing is an especially problematic
case. In order for direct marketers to reach their audiences,
they must first obtain email addresses at least, and demographic
data as well if they wish to target specific “types”
of consumers. Although there are many notable exceptions,
most advertisers must obtain the email addresses and demographic
data from third parties because they lack the means to collect
the data themselves.
On the one hand, the goal of third-party
companies who collect consumer data is to sell the data
to someone else. On the other hand, the companies who purchase
the data (or place ads with internet properties based on
demographic data) are companies trying to target their marketing
to people who might actually be interested in becoming customers,
rather than wasting advertising dollars showing ads to people
who are not likely to become customers. The problem is
that the business goals of third-party sellers of data undermine
the business goals of the companies purchasing the data.
For example, one perfectly legitimate
and respectable company, Opt In Inc, is a self-proclaimed
“full-service email marketing agency.” Among
other things, it offers for sale an email list “made
up of individuals who have responded to a vacation offer
courtesy of Ramada Plaza Resorts.” [43] Opt In Inc tells its prospective clients, “These consumers
are excellent prospects for travel, time-shares, car rental,
insurance, credit cards, coupons, cell phones, long distance,
magazines, apparel, automotive, banking, software, and much
more.” Did the vacation offer from Ramada Plaza Resorts
ask these consumers, explicitly, “Do you want to receive
offers for travel, time-shares, car rental, insurance, credit
cards, coupons, cell phones, long distance, magazines, apparel,
automotive, banking, software, and much more?” If
so, did all of the respondents on the list say “yes”
to all of the categories? If I am a software company selling
a new spreadsheet application, what will my sales be if
I send out an email advertisement to everyone on the Ramada
Plaza Resorts list? If I am a consumer included on the
Ramada Plaza Resorts list, how many commercial emails will
I receive as a result of being included on the list, and
how many of the commercial emails will present offers that
interest me? Does Opt In Inc (or Ramada Plaza Resorts)
tell me I am on this list? How do I get off of the list?
This is “opt-in” only insofar
as individuals on the list in question did, at one time,
opt-in on a vacation offer from Ramada Plaza Resorts. Unless
each individual specifically opted in to receive advertisements
from other companies for “travel, time-shares, car
rental, insurance, credit cards, coupons, cell phones, long
distance, magazines, apparel, automotive, banking, software,
and much more,” all other commercial email generated
from this list is most likely spam from the recipients’
point of view.
Opt In Inc is a representative example
of what has passed as “opt-in” since the early
days of online marketing. Opt In Inc operates or partners
with a variety of online services, such as CatalogChoice.com,
eSweeps.com, FreeAirMiles.com, and MatchDoctor.com that
present free offers of various types. The goal of these
online services is to collect email addresses and demographic
information.
MatchDoctor.com, for example, is a free
personal ads site in the Opt In Inc network. Users of this
site sign up for the purpose of meeting people. They fill
out a form describing themselves and the type of person
they are looking to meet. At the end of the registration
process, they are required to check a box agreeing to MatchDoctor.com’s
terms of service, which the person can read by clicking
on a link. The terms of service agreement states, in no
uncertain terms, that the user must agree to receive advertising.
Finally, the person is presented with an “opt-in”
page where s/he can choose to, for example, sign up with
MCI, as well as sign up to receive offers from other Opt
In Inc properties like CustomOffers.com.
Opt In Inc and others of its kind are
completely legitimate; there is no deception in the subscription
process. Subscribers to Opt In Inc’s websites are
reasonably and fairly informed that their email address
and personal information will be used by advertisers, and
these subscribers provide their information willingly in
exchange for the free services.
When a person subscribes to MatchDoctor.com,
he or she is looking for a date. In contrast, Opt In Inc,
in offering the service, is looking to fill a database with
email addresses that can be sold to advertisers. Meanwhile,
advertisers want to reach potential customers who are interested
in buying what they are selling. These are three different
goals.
In marketing its MatchDoctor.com list
to potential clients, Opt In Inc claims:
MatchDoctor.com provides direct marketers
with the opportunity to reach men and women who are active
in the dating community. These are primarily young individuals
who keep up with the latest styles, fashions, and trends.
They are all either dating, in relationships, or are actively
seeking out a special someone, so these names are an ideal
target for any types of dating or romance offers.
These consumers are excellent prospects
for clothing, exercise equipment, weight loss, Valentine’s
Day offers, make-up, flowers, restaurants, movies, catalogs,
cell phones, credit cards, magazines, and much more.
Advertisers buying the MatchDoctor.com
list want to sell cell phones and credit cards, so this
sounds terrific. However, MatchDoctor.com does not ask
its subscribers if they want to buy cell phones and credit
cards. There is no way Opt In Inc could know if members
of MatchDoctor.com are “excellent prospects”
for these kinds of consumer goods and services.
Another Opt In Inc property is CustomOffers.com,
which is much more clearly a site where people opt-in to
receive advertising based upon their interests. Here,
people “Register for great bargains and free entertainment”
by providing their name, email address, mailing address,
phone number, and birth date, then specifying their interests
by checking one or more of the 14 available categories
(computers, travel, books, contests and lotteries, etc.).
The subscriber must check a box indicating that s/he has
read the privacy policy, which is again available via a
hyperlink. The privacy policy specifies what data is collected
and states this information “may be used to support
our services and data sharing with marketing companies,
advertising agencies, compilers, and data companies. The
Company does not control the practices of our advertisers
or third party marketers, who may further disseminate personally
identifiable information, including demographic and lifestyle
data.”
CustomOffers.com would be true opt-in
if it did actually did deliver “great bargains and
free entertainment” tailored to the interests subscribers
specify. However, this seems doubtful because, again, Opt
In Inc asks its subscribers to specify their interests in
one set of product/service categories while marketing its
database of subscribers to advertisers interested in selling
products/services from a different set of categories. CustomOffers.com
tells its potential customers (advertisers), “These
consumers are excellent prospects for credit cards, cell
phones, book clubs, coupons, music offers, software, internet
service, home products, and much more.” Of these
products and offers, only “credit cards” is
among the 14 choices offered to CustomOffers.com subscribers.
Hence, only those subscribers who checked the “credit
cards” box will receive advertising of interest to
them and, likewise, only credit card advertisers will reach
potential customers who have specifically asked to receive
offers for what they are selling.
Another, more general problem with this
approach to “opt-in” marketing is that it assumes
subscribers interests never change. If an individual checks
a box indicating an interest in receiving offers for cell
phones, this person may not be interested in cell phones
six months later. In most cases, the subscriber has no
control over his or her “profile” one it has
been entered into the database.
There may be direct marketing programs
available online that do deliver what they promise to subscribers
and advertisers. For the most part, though, direct marketing
is designed for the profit of those companies and individual
selling the data, not to benefit the advertisers or the
customers of those advertisers.
Spam
“There’s a good reason that the great marketers of our
time have avoided spam. It’s not like the plague, it is
the plague.” --Seth Godin, The Big Red Fez [44]
There are hundreds, perhaps thousands,
of companies selling email addresses to businesses who want
to reach interested consumers, and not all of these companies
concern themselves with consumer “opt-in” practices.
They collect email addresses by any and all means and sell
them, often cheaply. The advertisers who purchase these
email addresses may or may not be aware of the data collection
practices of the companies selling the email addresses,
but the end result is an onslaught of spam.
Email lists are cheap:
“For just $189 we'll submit your bulk
email advertisement to 1,000,000 recipients spam free.”
[45]
“we provide 100% optin email for general
delivery at 3000.00 per million email thats .003 cents a
name, no other form of advertising is that inexpensive.”
[46]
“ Get 75,000 FREE HITS JUST FOR JOINING TODAY!”
[47]
Spam is an immensely profitable business
model. According to one spam email selling a product called
“The Bulkbook” for $29.95:
Using bulk email, YOU CAN SEND YOUR AD
TO MORE THAN A MILLION PEOPLE A DAY at virtually no cost.
Whether your send 100,000 emails or 100 million emails,
the price is the same. ZERO! . . . Imagine that you have
a decent product with a profit margin of $20.00 on each
sale. If you send an email ad to 500,000 people, and
only one person in a thousand actually places an order,
then you just generated 500 orders and made $10,000 in a
few hours of work.”
Pew Research Center surveyed 3500 people
and found that 91% used email on a regular basis in 2001.
For the most part, these people see email as a way to keep
in touch with friends and family.
[48] They do not see email as a means to receive ads any more than
they view their mail box as a receptacle for junk mail or
their phone the conduit through which they receive telemarketing
calls. However, according to Brightmail Inc., a software
maker that monitors junk mail on the internet, unsolicited
commercial email is “rapidly outpacing legitimate
email, which is accelerating steadily in its own right.”
In January
2003, Brightmail reported that spam “has reached epidemic
proportions. The growth curve has been steep, with the number
of spam attacks rising from 2.7 million in January 2002
to over 6 million in January 2003.”
[49] During the month of July 2002, Brightmail counted more than
4.8 million “spam attacks” (with each attack
involving thousands of messages). By comparison, the company
counted 879,000 attacks in June 2001. According to Brightmail,
in mid-2002 spam made up between 12% and 15% of total email
traffic, up from 7% in 2001. [50]
According to a study conducted by Opt-In
News, 47% of email users get more than ten email advertisements
per day. As the charts below indicate, 29% of users receive
between 7-10 email advertisements; 18% receive between 1-3;
and 6% receive between 4-6 commercial email ads daily.
|
 |
 |
|
| Figures
1 and
2: From Opt-In News (May 2002)
[51] |
These consumers say that 59% of the email advertisements they
receive is spam, while 19% of the ads are from sources they
have opted-in to. The report notes that, “Under this
type of bombardment,” 22% of consumers cannot distinguish
which messages they’ve opted in to receive and which
messages are spam.
Forrester estimated that, in 2002 alone,
250 billion emails would be sent to about 250 million recipients. [52] Further, according to Jupiter Media Metrix, individuals will
receive, on average, 1,800 pieces of unsolicited e-mail.
By 2006, Jupiter expects that number to grow to more than
3,800. [53]
The “spam glut” has lowered
the effectiveness of legitimate marketers. Automatic spam
filters at the server or client level can “zap”
even legitimate emails, and consumers, overwhelmed by spam,
frequently overlook legitimate offers or delete all commercial
mailings in one shot.
[54]
With spam, users are rendered fairly helpless.
If a user attempts to use an “unsubscribe” link
in a spam or tries to respond with a complaint, the response
often disappears into a black hole while alerting the spammer
that the email address is valid. Responding to spam can
result in even more spam.
Spam is an infringement and a violation
of privacy and trust, whether it originates from a “legitimate”
company selling email addresses or a scam artist collecting
addresses from newsgroups and websites.
Privacy &
Trust
A February 2002
Harris Poll found that the
top three "major concerns" consumers express are
that companies they patronize will provide their information
to other companies without permission (75%); that their
transactions may not be secure (70%); or that hackers could
steal their personal data (69%). [57]
Privacy and trust are crucial issues to
the majority of internet users. According to a February
2002 Harris Poll, the top three "major concerns"
consumers express are that companies they patronize will
provide their information to other companies without permission
(75%); that their transactions may not be secure (70%);
or that hackers could steal their personal data (69%).
[55] An earlier Harris poll found that “83% of online users
had refused to give information to a business or company
they considered was unnecessary or too personal in nature.
Just over four in 10 (44%) online users had avoided specific
Web sites because of dubious privacy practices.”[56]
According to Princeton Survey Research Associates’
2002 survey of 15,000 adult internet users in the US by
Princeton Survey Research Associates (2002), only 29 percent
of users say they trust Web sites that sell products or
services. And just 33 percent say they trust Web sites giving
advice about such purchases. That compares to 58 percent
who trust newspapers and television news and 47 percent
who trust the federal government in Washington. Three in
five users (60%) do not know that search engines are often
paid to list some sites more prominently than others in
their results. Users overwhelmingly (80%) want search engines
to reveal these practices.
A February 2002 Harris Poll found
that:
-
The
top three "major concerns" consumers express
are that companies they patronize will provide their information
to other companies without permission (75%); that their
transactions may not be secure (70%); or that hackers
could steal their personal data (69%). [59]
-
Individuals
want security: “84% of respondents thought it was
important that access to data within an entity be limited.”
-
63%
of respondents thought current law inadequate to protect
privacy.
-
A
majority of consumers do not trust businesses to handle
their personal information properly, and 84% responded
that independent verification of company privacy policies
should be a requirement.
-
83%
said they would end business dealings with a company if
the company misused customer information.
-
83%
of respondents had asked a company to remove their name
and address from mailing lists.
-
Having
a company’s privacy practices verified by a third
party would lead more than 9 in 10 consumers (91%) to
say they would do more business with such a firm. More
than half of consumers (58%) say that if they were confident
that a company -- whether offline or online – really
followed its privacy policies, they would be likely to
recommend that company to friends and family.
-
What
consumers think are the most important elements to be
verified in order to increase confidence -- that security
procedures are adequate (90%); that the company does not
release customer personal data without permission or unless
required by law (89%); that access within the company
is limited (84%); that the company is only collecting
the customer information that its privacy policies indicate
(84%); and that information use or sharing follows stated
privacy policies (81%).
A Harris survey of 1017 Americans
adults asked respondents to define what aspects of privacy
were important to them. Question 705 asked respondents how
important certain aspects of privacy are to them:
- Not
being disturbed at home: Respondents reported extremely
important (55%), somewhat important (35%), not very important
(5%), and not important at all (3%).
- Being
in control of who can get information about you: Respondents
reported extremely important (84%), somewhat important (10%),
not very important (1%), and not important at all (2%).
- Controlling
what information is collected about you: Respondents reported
extremely important (79%), somewhat important (15%), not
very important (3%), and not important at all (1%).
Internet Industry
Responses After reporting a 44%
loss in its expected ad revenues for 2000, in 2002 Yahoo!
revamped its privacy policy; opted-in all of its members to
receive spam; and started charging fees for email, websites,
and other previously-free services without offering improvements
on the services themselves. The 2000 annual report explains
a lot: Yahoo! recognized the need to create billable relationships
with its customers (hence the fees), and it needed more leverage
for advertising. Reactions to Yahoo!’s actions were
resoundingly negative, particularly toward the privacy policy
and opt-out initiatives. Many people found the fees reasonable,
however. Among comments posted in response to a ClickZ
article on the subject on were these:
“I’d pay even more if my email provider
could stem the flood of spam from the rest of the Net!”—Channing
R.
“I absolutely would pay a nominal fee ($1.00
to $5.00) per year for each email account, if I knew that
my information would not be distributed to email marketers,
telemarketers, and other such subterranean ventures.” —Howie
D.
“If the major free email services went to
even a nominal fee, the amount of spam generated from those
services would dramatically decrease, and the remaining free
services would be so overloaded with spammers that they, too,
would have to begin charging. . . .”—Len Feldman
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Duffy (2000); Swain & Blustin (2001)
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